First Branch Forecast

Statement on Today’s Announcement of New House Staff and Committee Unions

Today, several congressional offices — including the House Education and Workforce Committee’s Democratic staff — have filed union petitions in the House. Staffers in Reps. Val Hoyle, Sylvia Garcia, and Mark DeSaulnier have all recently filed union petitions while a majority of staffers in the offices of Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Mark Pocan, Mark Takano, Sean … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Branch Forecast for June 12, 2023: Who’s the boss?

TOP LINE This week. The House and Senate are in and we will see whether Republican House leadership regains control of the floor. (We discuss the power struggle in more detail in the next section.) We expect to see top-line appropriations numbers in the House, a few (big) appropriations markups, and NDAA subcommittee markups in … Continued

First Branch Forecast

Bipartisan Coalition of 35 Organizations and Individuals Urge House to Protect and Strengthen the Office of Congressional Ethics

In advance of tomorrow’s House Administration Oversight Subcommittee hearing on the Office of Congressional Ethics (OCE), 35 organizations and individuals across the political spectrum sent a letter today to leaders of the House Administration Oversight Subcommittee urging them to protect and further strengthen the OCE in its mission. Notably, the coalition asks for the removal … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Branch Forecast for June 5, 2023: A return to normalcy

TOP LINE The debt limit crisis mercifully is over, for now, without the Senate as much as cutting into its three-day weekend. The institutional conditions that enabled the drama, however, remain. For now, it’s back to business on the urgent matters of the day like messaging bills about appliances. We’ll be waiting for the stalled … Continued

First Branch Forecast

The House’s new Statements of Disbursements with Improved Metadata Disclosure

In a win for government spending transparency, the House is publishing highly detailed information about the money it spends on itself. The Clerk of the House just released the latest House Statements of Disbursements — ​​which catalog every penny spent by every person in the House of Representatives — with new metadata (or entity identifiers).  … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Branch Forecast for May 30, 2023: The debt limit agreeement

TOP LINE Appropriations bills’ markups, scheduled to begin last week, have taken a hiatus awaiting the outcome of the topic du jour. It’s not clear that House Republicans would have been able to pass those bills individually. This week: the deal that Pres. Biden and Speaker McCarthy have reached to raise the debt limit scrambled the … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Branch Forecast for May 22, 2023: The plan for Congress’s funding in FY 24

TOP LINE Government accountability requires both structural mechanisms and personal will. By moderately decreasing funding levels for the Legislative branch, House appropriators preserved most of the structural accountability capacity of Congress in their FY 2024 spending package. Individuals, however, continue to dodge holding peers accountable. The US Capitol Police is allowing former acting chief Yogananda … Continued

Press Releases

Newly Declassified Opinion Reveals Continued Abuse of FISA Section 702 to Spy on BLM Arrestees, Jan. 6 Suspects, Political Donors, Imperiling Reauthorization

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Just now, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence released declassified opinion from the FISA Court, which describes previously unknown abuses of the controversial FISA surveillance law known as “Section 702.” In response, Sean Vitka, senior policy counsel at Demand Progress, issued the following statement: “This newly revealed abuse of Section 702 … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Impressions: Funding Breakdown in the Draft FY 2024 House Legislative Branch Appropriations Bill

By Taylor J. Swift, senior policy advisor The House proposes to appropriate $6.746 billion towards the Legislative branch, a 2.2% reduction from FY 23, according to a statement released by Appropriations Committee Republicans. Excluding the Senate amount, the remaining $5.313 billion in discretionary appropriations reflects a $252 million or 4.5% cut from the FY 23 … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Branch Forecast for May 8, 2023: Food and Housing

TOP LINE Lawmakers assumed that income tax revenue coming in during April would give them a few more months to posture before the debt default roiled the markets. The time to implement a solution to the debt limit, however, was back in the lame duck session of the last Congress. Unfortunately, Senator Joe Manchin, along … Continued

First Branch Forecast

First Branch Forecast for May 1, 2023: Analyzing CRS

TOP LINE Last week’s House vote garnered a lot of attention but changed nothing. We see little room for Speaker McCarthy to maneuver to stay at the top of his conference while simultaneously negotiating a deal that avoids default on our nation’s debt. Prior Republican speakers have cut loose part of their conference to avert … Continued

Press Releases

Statement on ODNI’s Annual Statistical Transparency Report

WASHINGTON, DC — Today, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) released the Annual Statistical Transparency Report for 2022. The release comes as Congress is embroiled in debate over how to reform privacy protections for Americans in light of decades of well-documented misuse of presidential surveillance powers, Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), and an extremely controversial part … Continued

Press Releases

Demand Progress Responds to Somalia WPR

WASHINGTON, DC — Today, the House of Representatives voted on H.Con.Res.30. The bill would have removed the U.S. Armed Forces from hostilities in Somalia a year after its passage. During that period, Congress would have been able to debate and vote on the continued presence of U.S. Armed Forces in Somalia. The bill did not pass but … Continued